Hong Kong Observatory stated on Friday that a broad area of low pressure that is developing in the northwestern Pacific could approach the waters east of Luzon in the coming days, with its trajectory remaining uncertain.
In connection with this, two forecasting systems suggest that this emerging “autumn typhoon” may enter the South China Sea.
It is generally believed that typhoons are infrequent in October, but the truth is that tropical cyclones can still affect the South China Sea during this month. The strength and path of these systems are typically more complex and variable than those experienced in summer.
The weather watchdog said further that the developing low-pressure area is expected to move towards the waters east of Luzon, but its future path remains unpredictable.
Photo: Hong Kong Observatory
The AI model “Fuxi” has projected that this expansive low-pressure zone will approach the Philippines. The Observatory’s forecasts indicate that the situation will continue to evolve, with the possibility of the low-pressure area intensifying as it shifts towards the South China Sea.
The report said that it is not certain whether this low-pressure system will develop into a typhoon or impact Hong Kong
However, both the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Fuxi AI weather prediction model suggest that it could indeed enter the South China Sea shortly.
香港天文台稱今秋颱風有可能發展
香港天文台週五表示，西北太平洋正在形成的大片低壓區可能在未來幾天接近呂宋島以東海域，其軌跡仍不確定。
與此相關，兩個預報系統表明，這場新興的「秋季颱風」可能會進入南海。
人們普遍認為10月份颱風很少發生，但事實是10月份熱帶氣旋仍會影響南海。 這些系統的強度和路徑通常比夏季經歷的更加複雜和多變。
氣象監督機構進一步表示，正在發展的低壓區預計將向呂宋島以東海域移動，但其未來路徑仍無法預測。
人工智慧模型「伏羲」預測，這個廣闊的低壓區將逼近菲律賓。 天文台預測，事態將持續演變，低壓區向南海移動的可能性將會加大。
報導稱，尚不確定這個低壓系統是否會發展成颱風或影響香港
不過，歐洲中期天氣預報中心和伏羲AI天氣預報模型都表明，它確實可能在不久的將來進入南海。
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