Hong Kong will be warmer but drier than normal in the next three months as a result of almost no rain last December, according to the Hong Kong Observatory analysis released on Friday.
The city's weather watchdog reported that last month was slightly warmer than normal, with the monthly average temperature at 18.5°C, 0.3°C higher than the normal December temperature.
Observatory forecast “normal to above-normal temperature” for January through March, attributing the trend to climate warming, which had led to a “significant long-term increase” in Hong Kong’s temperatures.
Hong Kong Observatory said further that the majority of climate models around the world forecast normal to above-normal temperatures over southern China for January-March 2025. Hence, the temperature of January-March 2025 in Hong Kong is expected to be normal to above normal.
It also noted there would be a higher chance of “normal to below-normal” rainfall in Hong Kong between January and March, as suggested by forecasts from most other climate models.
香港天文台預測未來三個月天氣轉暖及乾燥
根據香港天文台週五發布的分析，由於去年 12 月幾乎沒有降雨，未來三個月香港將比正常情況更溫暖但乾燥。
根據本市氣象部門通報，上月氣溫較常年偏暖，月平均氣溫18.5℃，較12月常年偏高0.3℃。
天文台預測一月至三月氣溫“正常至高於正常”，並將這一趨勢歸因於氣候變暖，氣候變暖導致香港氣溫“長期大幅上升”。
香港天文台進一步表示，全球大部分氣候模型預測2025年1月至3月華南地區氣溫為正常至偏高。
報告還指出，正如大多數其他氣候模型的預測所示，一月至三月期間，香港出現「正常或低於正常」降雨量的可能性較高。
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